{
  "arithmetic": {
    "delta": 121,
    "links": 8,
    "no_referrer": 114,
    "one_referrer": 7,
    "partition_matches_delta": true,
    "referrer_partition_total": 121
  },
  "artifacts": [
    {
      "actual_sha256": null,
      "declared_path": "data/discovery/2026-09-06-attribution/summary.json",
      "declared_sha256": "d64334802d99c5324a8ab61a6b9c3c6fd8ebd6504f89a65bbd8522c88d8f285b",
      "evidence_id": "vanderbilt-stats-comparison-2026-09-06",
      "hash_matches": false,
      "kind": "secondary",
      "present": false,
      "published": null,
      "publisher": "ai-safety-lab",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-06",
      "url_recorded_but_not_fetched": null
    },
    {
      "actual_sha256": null,
      "declared_path": "data/discovery/2026-09-06-attribution/manifest.jsonl",
      "declared_sha256": "9b10a08833e6974285da0f3ee749277a14e1eac379a2bb1bee983c6b767beb61",
      "evidence_id": "vanderbilt-stats-2026-09-06",
      "hash_matches": false,
      "kind": "primary",
      "present": false,
      "published": null,
      "publisher": "vanderbi.lt",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-06T14:29:31.980509Z",
      "url_recorded_but_not_fetched": "https://vanderbi.lt/g3-jc+"
    }
  ],
  "claim_id": "vanderbilt-post-publication-clicks",
  "claim_notes": "all comparison links were already public; yourls 1.5.1 various entries conceal individual counts the yourls '+' stats page gives a time series the listing doesn't and doesn't increment: 0n0wi 40 clicks all time, 29 in the last 30 days, best day 4 on 2026-08-09; malagent0x 36 all time, 12 in the last 30 days. 72% of 0n0wi's lifetime clicks landed after the swarm window, from investigators replaying links. click counts rank our own traffic and are not used as a signal anywhere in this database",
  "claim_text": "eight links gained 121 clicks between the september 4 kmad snapshots and september 6 captures; 114 have no recorded referrer and seven have one; public statistics do not identify the callers",
  "database": "data/termina/incidents.sqlite",
  "generated_on": "2026-09-08",
  "independent_comparison": {
    "conclusion": "The public evidence independently compares 25 of 26 KMAD lane-5 captures and observes 23 increases totaling 266 by the September 5 API export. Termina does not enumerate its selected eight links, so this different population and interval neither reproduces nor contradicts the claimed 121-click sum.",
    "provenance": {
      "files": {
        "kmad_lane_log": {
          "repository_path": "artifacts/decode-raw/lane5_log.json",
          "sha256": "2078c883d43053be93ab35640472ac9873be4fd23ad3ea1b68dc0ce46a3e7d96"
        },
        "public_links": {
          "repository_path": "raw_artifacts/shorteners/vanderbi.lt/links.csv",
          "sha256": "377fab954f11f63e3ddd77e030b3a31d21a33fe5b68e3ca27ea9ef8a4cb822f4"
        },
        "public_meta": {
          "repository_path": "raw_artifacts/shorteners/vanderbi.lt/meta.json",
          "sha256": "2b9284804b3b1ac7beafe3b4f531eba7a5a0970f0211585852930e146d799c5a"
        }
      },
      "kmad_repository": {
        "commit": "2ee3df2fc9a8e7e338be359af7b933de1776f9bc",
        "url": "https://github.com/kmad/agent-swarm-forensics"
      },
      "public_api_fetched_at": "2026-09-05T12:20:39Z",
      "public_repository": {
        "commit": "26bf264895ac0ceed6f075cc2760af9ae1fdc1b2",
        "url": "https://github.com/brausepulver/collusion-wiki-link-shorteners"
      }
    },
    "summary": {
      "aggregate_delta": 266,
      "claim_reproduced": false,
      "comparable_links": 25,
      "increased_links": 23,
      "kmad_captures": 26,
      "termina_claimed_delta": 121,
      "termina_claimed_selected_links": 8,
      "unchanged_links": 2
    },
    "termina_listing_dispositions": [
      {
        "alias": "g3-jc",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "no-kmad-lane5-capture",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": null,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/g3-jc+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "massjson715",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "no-kmad-lane5-capture",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": null,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/massjson715+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "jqinv11method",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-increased",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 5,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/jqinv11method+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "jqinv11raw",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-increased",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 7,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/jqinv11raw+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "bwkug",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-increased",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 14,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/bwkug+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "mdgood778",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-increased",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 16,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/mdgood778+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "openaipovertycompacttest",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-increased",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 8,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/openaipovertycompacttest+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "ourjsget26abc",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-increased",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 6,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/ourjsget26abc+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "macountyjson",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-unchanged",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 0,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/macountyjson+"
      },
      {
        "alias": "agentcounty",
        "kmad_lane5_disposition": "comparable-unchanged",
        "observed_delta_to_public_api": 0,
        "url": "https://vanderbi.lt/agentcounty+"
      }
    ]
  },
  "limits": [
    "Neither declared upstream artifact is held at its referenced path in this repository unless supplied via --evidence-root.",
    "The aggregate partition 114 + 7 = 121 is internally consistent but does not reproduce eight per-link before/after differences.",
    "No-referrer does not identify a caller; investigators, bots, previews, and agents remain observationally compatible.",
    "The database claim and its evidence register share the Termina collector lineage, so they are not independent corroboration."
  ],
  "local_disposition": "exact-claim-not-reproduced-independent-overlap-available",
  "network_policy": "offline-only; no evidence URL, '+' statistics page, or redirect target is requested",
  "observations": {
    "after": "September 6 capture; primary evidence retrieved_at 2026-09-06T14:29:31.980509Z",
    "before": "September 4 KMAD snapshots (exact timestamps and per-link counts unavailable here)",
    "counter_semantics": "The claim notes describe YOURLS '+' statistics as a time series and state that viewing the listing does not increment the counter."
  },
  "termina_status": "verified"
}